Friday, September 23, 2016

Looking for EV's - Oslo, Norway


Having spent these last days in Oslo, i can assert that this is the place where the title of this tag of articles makes less sense, because EV's were...Everywhere.

Specialists have crowned Oslo as the EV Capital of the World, and rightly so, because the typical Tron-like zoom is already part of the sound-landscape of the city, sure, the diesel-clattering is more common still, but it was also relatively easy to find lines of two or three electric cars on the road.

But first things first, before getting to Oslo, one must leave the airport and travel between the local airport and the city itself, it is a 20 to 30 minutes trip on the highway, where one can see a major difference between the first kilometers, where electric cars were rarer and composed mainly by Tesla Model S, Nissan Leaf and VW e-Golf, and the final kilometers, closer to the urban toll, where EV's are not only more common and diverse, but you start to see the I-Miev triplets, among other small cars. 

There i realized my first Oslo lesson...

Lesson Number One - Many drivers drive EV to avoid Urban Toll.


At 660.000 inhabitants, Oslo is not one of that large Metropolis with high rises and congested streets, here the vibe is more relaxed and the large amount of regular hybrids (More popular than plug-ins) and EV's zooming around just add to that feeling.

Plug-in owners might start to stress when they want to park and charge at the same time, while there are parking lots with multiple charging plugs, like the one pictured above, the city downtown hasn't got that many side way charging, and the places that had them, were always full.

This is probably an impossible equation to solve, but the city center, which was the only place where there was high vehicle density and stop-and-go traffic, there is little possibility to charge there.

Lesson Number Two - Charging is more needed where there is more traffic density. 

Lesson Number Two B - Utility companies have a good opportunity here, paid charging at city centers are a guarantee of high rotation and continuous revenue.


But for drivers that don't mind walking a few minutes, just outside the city center there are a number of parking lots with EVSE, with the most interesting of them being the one pictured above, close to the City Harbour, which has some 20 to 30 charging spots to charge, with the most interesting bit being the fact that ICE vehicles are not allowed to go into this parking lot.

At the time of the visit, in the middle of the afternoon, the parking was half full, which meant some 10/15 EV's charging at once in the same place and no gas car in sight...

Never like then i felt the EV future so close.


Thursday, September 22, 2016

Belgium August 2016




Running Hot 


August is usually a slow selling month in Belgium, as locals enjoy the Summer time, but this time, plug-in sales were hot, with 726 units, up 151%(!), with the EV Share up to 1.6%.

As usual, AWD vehicles continue to top the ranking, with all Top 5 places in August belonging to such vehicles: The BMW X5 PHEV (78 units) this time was the Monthly Best-Seller, followed by another Bimmer, the 225xe Act. Tourer (65), while the Volvo XC90 T8 (58) ended in Third and the Tesla Model S and Porsche Cayenne PHEV (56) were tied in #5. With this kind of company, the BMW MPV almost looks like a Working-class-hero...

Looking at the YTD ranking, no surprises in the top positions, we have to go down to the Seventh Place to see some changes, with the BMW 330e (53 units, pb) rising two positions to #7, while at the same time managing to surpass its arch-rival Mercedes C350e and become the best selling plug-in of the D-segment/midsize class.

Speaking of midsize cars, last year winner, the Volvo V60 Plug-in, that was somewhere lost in combat, jumped five positions to #15, thanks to a surprising 39 units, it's best result since last November.

Underlining the never-ending appetite of this market for SUV's, the two models with highest rises in the ranking are two recent additions to that class: The Audi Q7 e-Tron rose one position to #26, while the Mercedes GLC350e did even better, jumping three positions to #23.

Two new (And expensive) models have arrived with a bang, the Tesla Model X reached Belgian shores with an impressive 27 units score, the best debut month ever by a model in Belgium, while the BMW 740e also landed with a surprising 18 units, in unrelated news, its Mercedes S500e rival registered 4 units, its worst performance in a year...

In the manufacturers ranking, leader BMW (29%, up 1%) continues to increase share, while Volvo (20%, down 1%) is continuously dropping share. Thankfully for the Swede, the Third Placed Porsche (11%) and #4 Mercedes (10%) are still far.

Looking at the BEV/PHEV breakdown, Belgium is starting to look more and more like the Netherlands in past years, plug-in hybrids have increased their share to 74%, up 21%(!) regarding last year. 

As for FCEV's, in 2016 there were registered 10 units, nine of them being Mirai(?!?), a 150% growth rate regarding 2015, when there were registered a grand total of...4 units.


PlBelgiumAug.YTD%'15Pl
1Volvo XC90 T8 581.1641913
2BMW X5 40e 788291415
3
4
Porsche Cayenne Plug-In
Tesla Model S
56
56
590
457
10
7
2
1
5Nissan Leaf2037168
6BMW 225xe Active Tourer653335N/A
7BMW 330e532524N/A
8BMW i3 *3224743
9
Mercedes C350e
13221416
10Mercedes GLE500e15194327
11Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV1515836
12
13
14
15
16
Renault Zoe
Volkswagen Passat GTE
Audi A3 e-Tron
Volvo V60 Plug-In
BMW i8
17
32
3
39
11
153
143
99
89
84
3
2
2
1
1
18
33
7
4
9
17
17
19
20
Volkswagen Golf GTE
Mercedes B250e
Mercedes S500e
Mercedes GLC350e
4
9
4
20
73
73
66
59
1
1
1
1
5
11
14
N/A
20
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
32
34
35
35

Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia **
Porsche Panamera Plug-In
Renault Twizy
Toyota Prius Plug-In
Renault Kangoo ZE 
Audi Q7 e-Tron
Volkswagen e-Golf
Tesla Model X
Kia Soul EV
BMW 740e
Peugeot iOn
Citroen C-Zero
Volkswagen e-Up!
Citröen e-Mehari
Citroen Berlingo EV
Smart Fortwo ED
Others
10
3
4
17
13
19
1
27
4
18
3

1
3
1
1
1
59
55
50
46
43
39
32
27
23
18
14
13
13
7
6
6
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
21
10
15
25
N/A
N/A
17
N/A
23
N/A
20
24
21
N/A
N/A
19


TOTAL7266.113100

Source: FEBIAC

* - 18 Bev + 14 Rex
** - 1 Pass + 9 LCV



Plug-Ins Versus Regular Hybrids

PlModel Aug. 2016
1Toyota RAV4 Hybrid174
2Toyota Auris Hybrid165
3Toyota Yaris Hybrid137
4 Toyota Prius94
5BMW X5 40e78


If we combine August regular hybrid sales with plug-ins, the Toyota Hybrids have the top positions all to themselves, with its compact SUV (The trend du jour) RAV4 ending in #1, followed by the Auris and the smaller Yaris.

Even the Toyota Prius managed to reach #4, with 94 units, it seems that locals have already digested the interesting looks of the former poster child of Green Mobility.
The best selling plug-in was only Fifth, with the BMW X5 PHEV collecting 78 units.


Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Germany August 2016

  

German Incentives, Month 2 - 

After completing the second month of incentives, registrations were finally up to 1.823 units, a 26% YoY rise.

With this result, the EV Share climbed a little to 0.64%, although it is still below the 0.75% registered last year.

But looking at the August models ranking, one wonders if the best selling models were influenced by the incentives, after all, the leader BMW i3 sales uptick has more to do with the new 33kWh battery release, the Renault Zoe has been a consistent best seller throughout the year and the Tesla Model S does not benefit from incentives.

The only exception seems to be the Renault Twizy, now back at three-digit sales for the first time in two years, can anybody assert that Quadricycles are also eligible to incentives?


PlModel
Sales  
1BMW i3280
2Renault Zoe256
3Mit. Outlander PHEV157
4Tesla Model S140
5Renault Twizy109

The YTD German EV ranking is known for constant changes and surprising performances, last month was no exception:

- The Tesla Model S climbed to #3, its highest ranking ever, thanks to 140 units, its best mid-quarter performance ever, does this means that the Californian is finally gaining traction?

- The Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV also climbed one position, in this case to #7, and is now trying to beat Volkswagen Group models ahead in the race for Best Selling PHEV;

- The aforementioned Renault Twizy jumped to #10, it seems Germany is back to its 2012/13 romance with the tiny French vehicle;

- At the bottom of the ranking, there is a new model shining, the BMW 740e registered 47 units last month and is just 76 units behind its class leader Mercedes S500e, so it won't be a surprise if the BMW product reaches soon the throne in the F-segment/Full-size class.  

The manufacturers ranking is the epitome of a balanced market, with the top three brands all at 17% share and only 59 units separating the First (Volkswagen - 2.518 units) from the Third (Renault - 2.459), with BMW in Second, one(!) unit ahead of the French brand, with 2.460 units.

PlGermanyAug. YTD%'15 Pl
1
2
Renault Zoe
BMW i3 *
256
280
1.836
1.237
13
9
6
2
3Tesla Model S14097877
4
5
Audi A3 e-Tron
Volkswagen Golf GTE
41
39
908
852
6
6
5
4
6Volkswagen Passat GTE4380969
7Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV15780063
8Nissan Leaf44733510
9
10
11
Volkswagen e-Golf
Renault Twizy 
BMW 225xe Active Tourer
54
109
68
548
518
509
4
4
4
8
15
20
12
13
Volvo XC90 T8 
Mercedes C350e   e)
32
45
486
479
3
3
28
13
14Kia Soul EV
101
43931
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
30
32
33
34
35

Audi Q7 e-Tron
Volkswagen e-Up!
Mercedes B250e
BMW 330e
Porsche Cayenne Plug-In
BMW X5 40e
Mercedes GLE500e
BMW i8
Mercedes S500e   e)
Volvo V60 Plug-In
Renault Kangoo ZE e)
Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia
Porsche Panamera PHEV
Mercedes GLC350e
BMW 740e
Citroen C-Zero
Smart Fortwo ED
Peugeot iOn
Tesla Model X
Citroen Berlingo EV e)
Peugeot Partner EV
Others
32
4
42
25
36
9
6
12
15
30
10
21
4
25
47
17
4
6
31
5

33
435
307
261
245
226
209
187
179
157
154
105
103
94
82
81
72
71
61
60
40
25
123
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
 0
1
24
12
14
32
17
22
29
16
19
18
N/A
25
23
N/A
N/A
36
11
36
N/A
33
33

TOTAL
1.823
14.408
100



* - 147 Bev + 133 Rex

e) Estimate

Source: kba.de

Sunday, September 18, 2016

China Buses Overview (Through 2010 to 2015)


A lot has been said about the ADL/BYD delivery of 51 Electric Buses in London, said to be the largest fleet in Europe, or the famed BYD buses plant in Lancaster - California, said to have a production target of 1.000 units/year, although these are positive signs that things are moving in the right direction, these numbers are dwarfed by what's going on in China...

Remember a certain article where this topic was scratched at the surface? Even then the numbers seemed huge, didn't they? 

Now, with some more detailed data, i can document the extraordinary and almost unbelievable growth that electric Buses registrations are experiencing in China:

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
BEV 523 1136 1904 1672 12760 94260
PHEV 1478 313 2637 16500 23051
HEV 3804 2825 5825 6111 797


It's hard to believe on these staggering numbers, isn't it?

And harder still when you read this little piece of info...

Anyway, assuming the numbers are real, it is even more outlandish the fact that BYD, that many believe to be the Master on Electric Buses, was actually only the Sixth Largest (5.631 units) plug-in Bus maker in China, behind Yutong (15.369), Nanjing KL (9.012), Zhongtong (8.904), Suchao KL (7.115) and Dongfeng (5.761) and there are at least 15 Chinese Electric Bus makers, all having sold above 100 units in 2015. 

If anyone wishes to confirm or rebate these arguments, please do so, as it would help a lot to have a better picture of what's going on here.

Off-topic: And to think Volvo, the largest plug-in Bus maker in Europe, has yet to reach the 1.000 units production mark... 


Saturday, September 17, 2016

France August 2016

It's "Aller a la Plage" Time
 (Not So) Slow Season

The French EV market had 1.658 registrations last month, a 43% improvement YoY, a positive result in August, typically one of the slowest selling months in France, due to the holiday season.

The EV Share is stable at 1.67%, a significant departure from the 1.41% of 2015.

Looking at the monthly models ranking, there weren't big surprises, apart from the fact that we have an almost 100% BEV Top 5, something increasingly harder to find in the European markets.

The Zoe continues to lead the way (as in the last 23 24 months...), followed this time by the Nissan Leaf (196 units), which displaced the Renault Kangoo ZE (188) to Third, with the Peugeot iOn reaching #4 and the BMW i3 in #5. 

PlModelSales  
1Renault Zoe386
2
Nissan Leaf
196
3Renault Kangoo ZE188
4Peugeot iOn100
4BMW i399


France is known for being a stable market, with little changes in the ranking, and August confirms this, one has to go down to #8, with the Kia Soul surpassing the Volvo XC90 T8, but despite the one position drop, Volvo's Knarr SUV has the Rookie Of The Year award waiting for it. 

Reversing what happened last month, the Citröen C-Zero surpassed its surfing-beach-loving e-Mehari brethren and regained the #13 place, with colder weather approaching, expect the small urban car to retain its lead over the convertible.

Different fortunes for the two high end SUV's from VAG: While the Porsche Cayenne Plug-In drops two places to #19 (Only 20 sales, worst performance in 17 months), the Audi Q7 e-Tron continues to impress, with 55 units registered in August, it was the best selling plug-in hybrid last month and jumped six positions to #28.  

Looking at the brands ranking, Renault (#1 since 2011) continues to be the Master In Command, with 43% share, followed at a distance by Nissan (14%) and BMW (9%).

Pl
France
Aug.
2016
%
'15Pl
1
Renault Zoe
386
7.481
34
1
2
Nissan Leaf
196
2.825
13
3
3
Renault Kangoo ZE 
188
1.663
7
2
4
BMW i3 *
99
870
4
8
5
Peugeot iOn
100
829
4
9
6
Volkswagen Golf GTE
31
746
3
4
7
Bolloré Blue Car
57
675
3
5
8
Kia Soul EV
78
629
3
13
9
10
Volvo XC90 T8
Audi A3 e-Tron
17
22
569
494
3
2
N/A
6
11
12
Tesla Model S
BMW X5 40e
31
29
485
452
2
2
10
20
13
Citröen C-Zero
40
449
2
15
14
Citröen e-Mehari
29
440
2
N/A
15
Renault Twizy
30
325
1
11
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
31
33
34
35

BMW 225xe Active Tourer
Goupil
Nissan e-NV200/Evalia **
Porsche Cayenne PHEV
Peugeot Partner EV e)
Volkswagen Passat GTE
BMW 330e
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Bolloré Blue Summer e)
Mercedes C350e
Volkswagen e-Up!
Citröen Berlingo EV
Audi Q7 e-Tron 
Volkswagen e-Golf
Mitsubishi I-Miev
Mercedes GLE500e
Volvo V60 Plug-In
BMW i8
Mercedes B250e
Toyota Prius Plug-In
Others
40
15
36
20
10
34
18
8
10
17
9
17
55
5
8
6
2
3
1
1
10
324
302
301
299
281
231
210
195
183
171
124
107
96
73
69
62
61
59
47
36
74
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
N/A
14
16
12
21
19
N/A
7
N/A
27
18
23
N/A
22
30
31
26
25
24
28

TOTAL
1.658
22.237

* - 34 Bev + 65 Rex

** - 6 Pass + 30 LCV

Sources: Avere France